
Research Center
VPBank (HOSE: VPB) | BUY - 1Y Upside +24.8%
Company
Overview
Company Overview VPBank stands out as one of our top investment picks in the Banking sector for 2025, supported by a robust foundation and strong long-term growth prospects. We highly appreciate the bank’s balance sheet after the strategic placement to SMBC. Additionally, the ongoing restructuring of FE Credit has begun to yield positive results, marking a promising turnaround for its consumer finance division.
Financial
Performance
VPB achieved impressive growth during the 2020–2024 period. Its total operating income (TOI) and pre-tax profit (PBT) posted 12.4% and 11.3% CAGR, respectively.
In Q1/2025, VPB reported VND 5,015 bn in PBT (+19.9% YoY), completing 19.8% of its full-year target. The parent bank’s loans to customers grew 6.1% to VND 653.3 tn, outperforming the sector average of 3.93%. Its NIM slightly declined to 5.6% though. At the end of Q1/2025, VPB’s total consolidated assets exceeded VND 994 tn, while total equity reached over VND 151.2 tn. The bank owns a one of the most well-capitalized equity in the banking system after the private placement to SMBC.
Investment
Thesis
- A leading private bank, well positioned for a growth cycle ahead.
- Ownership of FE Credit – A unique growth driver for VPB.
- Impressive NIM and sustainable profitability outlook.
- Industry - leading capital strength and strategic flexibility.
- Attractive
valuation with significant re-rating potential.
We use three valuation methods—Residual Income (RI), P/B, and SOTP—to determine the fair value of VPB. We initiate a BUY recommendation with a 12-month target price of VND 23,600/share, +24.8% from the closing price of VND 18,900/share as of May 14, 2025. For long-term (3 years), we value VPB at VND 31,000/share (+64.3%).
- VPB
- Initiation